Weaving Temporal Textures

In a previous post I positioned ‘prediction’ as one practice within an ensemble of temporal repertoires that futurists may use.

Here I want to describe my approach to foresight using a model shown below that contains the following elements …

{ Notice ~ Probe ~ Prospect ~ Presence ~ Practice ~ Perform }

Weaving temporal textures

~ weaving temporal textures ~

Each of the model elements provides a way to include a variety of epistemological positions (such as theories of vagueness and transient truth for example) and their corresponding exemplar and prototypical practices within each foresight performance being undertaken.

An example panorama of temporal repertoires is shown below.  It is not intended to be comprehensive … merely representative of a variety of ‘euphemisms’ for the concept of prediction … which you recall form the previous post included the notions of ‘anticipation’, ‘expectation’, ‘forecast’, ‘foresight’, ‘prevision’, ‘projection’ and ‘prophecy’ … etc.

Temporal Repertoires

Repertoires (such as those above) can be blended and used with each of the process elements of the foresight model introduced in the first picture above. I give a few examples below to illustrate …

Probe

Probe ~ ‘reflection’ (a mode of probe) involves accessing and returning the contents of the field of the past

Prospect

Prospect ~ ‘anticipation’ (a mode of prospection) engages with the field of the future

Presence

Presence ~ ‘expectation’ (a mode of presence) involves an epistemic bridge between the field of the present and the field of the future

Practice

Practice ~ three modes of practice are shown … forecast, projection and prediction … that link different temporal fields

Perform

Perform ~ repertoires within a temporal panorama may blend (and entail a ‘transcend and include’ logic of knowledge)

A variety of logics of knowledge may be embraced within the master-model.  The centrality of ‘Noticing’ (in the first picture above) reflects the depth and span of perspectives, and the degrees of epistemic detachment that may be included.

It is this awareness of fallibility (or meta-frame as mentioned in the previous post) … that is a key to the uniqueness, distinctiveness and agency of foresight.

3 thoughts on “Weaving Temporal Textures

  1. Pingback: The architecture of foresight | neil houghton

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